Week 4 Moves To Make! (Trade Targets, and Key Pick Ups!)Sep 26, 2022
WEEK 4: Fantasy Football Moves To Make!
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MOVES TO MAKE THIS WEEK
How to use our recommendations:
- BUY: Go get these players - we think they will be available at a value. Check out our trade value chart to help put together a trade!
- SELL: These players are being valued higher than we think they should. If you have them, consider cashing out for a better player before their value drops!
- ADD: These guys are available on waivers in at least 50% of leagues - but they're worth a spot on your bench!
- DROP: To make these adds and trades, you're going to have to clear roster space. These guys are rostered in more than half of leagues, but you can safely drop them for a good waiver option.
- STREAM: These are guys with good matchups for next week! They will primarily be QB/TE's that you can pick up to cover your bye week this week!
- LEAVE TO YOUR LEAGUEMATES: These are guys that we think are just flashes in the pan. Your league mates are going to get excited and bid on them...and you should let them! Stay away.
1. ADD Khalil Herbert (CHI RB)
- Herbert is our top waiver add this week. It's the rare case of a player we've loved for a long time finally getting a clear path to workhorse volume at the running back position. David Montgomery is dealing with ankle and knee injuries. In the four games he missed last year, then-rookie Herbert looked great and averaged double-digit fantasy points each week.
- Stevenson is still very much in a backfield split with Damien Harris. But the volume is slowly starting to tilt towards Stevenson, the younger player and the better pass-catcher between the two. With pass-catching specialist Ty Montgomery on IR for at least three more weeks, Stevenson is a strong starter with some soft matchups coming up.
- It's been rookie standout Garrett Wilson drawing the fantasy headlines for the Jets, and he's the better fantasy bet right now. But Moore - talented in his own right - is a good buy-low candidate who will come a lot cheaper than Wilson via trade. Moore is averaging 7 targets per game, including 10 last week. A lack of TDs is holding his overall scoring (and his trade value) down, but TDs are fluky and we'd bet they come at some point. Moore scored 5 TDs last year as a rookie. Also, with a QB change coming soon in New York, Moore might get a bump from the returning Zach Wilson, who helped Moore's late-season run last year.
4. SELL Clyde Edwards-Helaire (KC RB)
- Clyde is a good player in a great situation, and he's certainly not someone you need to move on from at all costs. He'll continue to be a productive starter this year if he's healthy. But as the current RB6 for fantasy, we think Clyde will fetch a higher price than his rest-of-season production will live up to. If you could flip CEH for someone like Jaylen Waddle, Tee Higgins, A.J. Dillon or Breece Hall, we'd consider that a win.
5. ADD Jameson Williams (DET WR)
- Jameson Williams is the star first-round rookie wide receiver Detroit drafted out of Alabama last spring. He's recovering from an ACL tear late last college season. There's no word on when he'll be back on the field, but now is the time to pick him up and stash him if he's available. Detroit has a surprisingly good offense paired with a terrible defense, which is all good for pass catchers. If guys like Josh Reynolds and DJ Chark are putting up fantasy points in this offense, a much more talented player like Williams could be a late-season league winner.
6. LEAVE TO YOUR LEAGUEMATES: Laviska Shenault (CAR WR)
- Sheneault is going to be a hot waiver add after showing up on all the halftime highlight reels for his 67-yard game-winning touchdown. But his 16 fantasy points came on just two targets, and one of them was that long fourth-quarter TD that was just a fluke wide receiver screen that the defense badly misplayed. Don't spend big on Shenault until we see his snaps and targets go up significantly.
7. ADD Jamaal Williams (DET RB)
- Jamaal Williams probably isn't a league-winner without an injury to De'Andre Swift. But with bye weeks coming up (and league-wide injuries starting to mount), you could do a lot worse with your last flex spot. Williams is averaging 15 touches a game and hit 20 carries this week with Swift's snaps clearly limited by injury. Behind Detroit's offensive line, Williams will have some great weeks.
8. LEAVE TO YOUR LEAGUEMATES: Tyler Conklin (NYJ TE)
- As a streaming TE candidate, Conklin is OK. He's getting targets: 7, 9 and 8 over his first three weeks. We wouldn't buy in too heavily, though. He's got two great WRs who are going to eat first, and the Jets have just had a freakishly high number of passing plays over their first three weeks. When QB Zach Wilson gets back on the field, we'd expect the Jets staff to get much more run-heavy to protect him, and that's going to cut into Conklin's targets.
9. ADD Isaiah McKenzie (BUF WR)
- Beyond the clear-cut #1 in Stefon Diggs, there's a revolving cast of Bills receivers who could put up good numbers in any given week. Isaiah McKenzie looks like the team's preferred slot receiver, getting 9 targets and even a carry in this week's loss to Miami. He out-targeted Gabe Davis 9 to 6, and he has similar weekly upside to Davis while being available on the waiver wire.
10. BUY Breece Hall (NYJ RB)
- We'll keep banging the Breece Hall drum as we have all off-season. The top rookie running back in the league got 14 touches this week, including 11 targets - and that's with Michael Carter expected to be more of the pass-catching back in New York. Hall is going to be a fantasy stud by the end of this year, and because he's only scored one TD so far, you can continue to buy him low. The TDs will come and the volume should only go up, as it usually does for rookies.
11. ADD David Njoku (CLE TE)
- In any given year, there are only 4-5 really good fantasy tight ends. If you missed out on that bunch, Njoku is a decent option as a breakout candidate who will occasionally get you enough targets to be more than the typical TD-dependent streamer. Njoku got 10 targets and 9 catches this past week, and is playing about 90% of the Browns snaps every week. Stream him for now, and if he keeps this production up, he could turn into a playoff-winner when he gets a QB upgrade in week 12.
12. ADD Alexander Mattison (MIN RB)
- Dalvin Cook left this week's Vikings-Lions game with his yearly shoulder injury, making Mattison a must-add waiver player... for now. Fair warning: there's a good chance Cook plays through the injury and Mattison returns to backup status. But if Cook misses even one week, it makes Mattison a clear fantasy starter for that week.
13. BUY Tee Higgins (CIN WR)
- Higgins missed some time in week 1, but he's been an animal when he's been on the field. This week, he totaled 93 receiving yards with more yards than Ja'Marr Chase and more targets than Tyler Boyd. If there's one team primed to have two top-10 fantasy wide receivers, we'd probably pick Cincinnatti, and Higgins is still undervalued in most fantasy leagues.
14. LEAVE TO YOUR LEAGUEMATES: Devante Parker (NE WR)
- Devante Parker put up 18 fantasy points and 156 yards in this week's shootout with Baltimore. But in the previous two games combined, he had just 1.4 fantasy points despite playing almost all the Patriots offensive snaps. Parker is a good player, but nothing more than a desperation flex play for fantasy until we see him hit double-digit targets consistently.
15. ADD K.J. Osborn (MIN WR)
- Someone else in Minnesota is going to be fantasy relevant... but it's not clear yet who. The Vikings have a terrible defense and a talented offense, an ideal combination for fantasy production. Defenses are selling out to stop Justin Jefferson, and a secondary target has a chance to feast against single coverage. It could be Adam Thielen (a bonus BUY candidate) who looked more like his old self this week. It might be the young TE Irv Smith, who is getting peppered with targets, but dropping a good number of them. We like Osborn, the clutch young speedster with two game-winning TD catches who can win you a week with a big play.
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